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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Arbroath
29.9%
Draw
44.0%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Arbroath

vs
1.30

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).