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20 Jul 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.5%
Halmstad
30.0%
Draw
45.5%
Häcken

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Halmstad

vs
1.39

Häcken

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).