Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Leeds
29.8%
Draw
31.2%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Leeds
vs
1.21
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).