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HHT: 11CSV

26 Apr 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Nott'm Forest
31.1%
Draw
39.7%
Brighton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Nott'm Forest

vs
1.30

Brighton

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).