Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Wigan
30.0%
Draw
34.1%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Wigan
vs
0.91
Exeter
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-1
15.3%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).