Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Ajaccio
28.5%
Draw
46.7%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Ajaccio
vs
1.17
Troyes
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).