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HHT: 40

14 Jan 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Hoffenheim
20.0%
Draw
16.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Hoffenheim

vs
1.13

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
0-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).