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25 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
GAIS
32.7%
Draw
51.1%
Mjällby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

GAIS

vs
1.24

Mjällby

Markets

BTTS32.5%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.9%
0-0
17.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).