Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Mirandes
22.9%
Draw
48.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Mirandes
vs
1.79
Almeria
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).