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AHT: 00CSV

28 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Doncaster
22.9%
Draw
38.5%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Doncaster

vs
1.44

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).