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AHT: 01

24 Oct 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Gorica
31.2%
Draw
43.9%
Hajduk Split

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Gorica

vs
1.32

Hajduk Split

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
12.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).