Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
Leicester
15.3%
Draw
78.7%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Leicester
vs
2.63
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.1%
0-3
11.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
1-4
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-5
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).