Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Stuttgart
19.2%
Draw
13.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Stuttgart
vs
0.99
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).