Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Hoffenheim
18.2%
Draw
14.8%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Hoffenheim
vs
1.15
Hertha
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
5.0%
3-2
4.5%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).