Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Brescia
30.8%
Draw
27.0%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Brescia
vs
0.98
Ternana
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).