Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Mirandes
27.7%
Draw
17.4%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Mirandes
vs
0.64
Lugo
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).