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HHT: 20CSV

09 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Oldham
30.1%
Draw
38.4%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Oldham

vs
1.04

Colchester

Markets

BTTS38.0%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).