Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Parma
27.9%
Draw
15.2%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Parma
vs
0.67
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).