Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Bury
18.8%
Draw
18.9%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Bury
vs
1.17
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).