Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Lens
24.4%
Draw
24.3%
Chambly
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Lens
vs
0.91
Chambly
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).