Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Brentford
22.9%
Draw
13.4%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Brentford
vs
0.85
Wolves
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).