Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Sturm Graz
22.2%
Draw
15.9%
Grazer AK
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Sturm Graz
vs
0.92
Grazer AK
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).