Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Reading
31.0%
Draw
45.9%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Reading
vs
1.28
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).