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AHT: 10

23 Nov 2024 · 11:15

Rostov

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
CSKA Moskva
29.6%
Draw
15.5%
Rostov

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

CSKA Moskva

vs
0.66

Rostov

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.3%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).