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18 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
32.4%
Draw
48.0%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
1.21

Charlton

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.4%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).