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AHT: 02CSV

11 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.8%
Hamburg
16.0%
Draw
10.2%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

2.75

Hamburg

vs
0.98

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
6.0%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).