Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Northampton
30.3%
Draw
35.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Northampton
vs
0.93
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
1-0
15.6%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).