Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
19.0%
Draw
11.6%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.66
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).