Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Tottenham
22.2%
Draw
12.7%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Tottenham
vs
0.85
Watford
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).