Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Reading
20.4%
Draw
17.9%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Reading
vs
0.86
Northampton
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).