Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Auxerre
30.2%
Draw
42.2%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Auxerre
vs
1.07
Lille
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).