Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Valladolid
22.3%
Draw
61.1%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valladolid
vs
1.92
Girona
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.1%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).