Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Burton
24.5%
Draw
26.1%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Burton
vs
0.96
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).