Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Valladolid
24.4%
Draw
36.4%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Valladolid
vs
1.44
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).