Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Chesterfield
26.0%
Draw
31.2%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Chesterfield
vs
1.11
Barnet
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).