Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Estrela
23.7%
Draw
28.4%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Estrela
vs
1.17
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).