Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Leganes
27.3%
Draw
37.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Leganes
vs
1.22
Almeria
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).