Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.5%
Napoli
16.8%
Draw
10.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Napoli
vs
0.76
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).