Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Bastia
29.0%
Draw
42.2%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Bastia
vs
1.09
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).