Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Hammarby
19.2%
Draw
11.1%
Kalmar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Hammarby
vs
0.85
Kalmar
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).