Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Alanyaspor
36.1%
Draw
26.8%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Alanyaspor
vs
0.97
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.7%
0-0
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).