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18 Oct 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.9%
Cordoba
17.4%
Draw
13.6%
Cartagena

Expected Goals (xG)

2.39

Cordoba

vs
0.96

Cartagena

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).