Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Bari
29.7%
Draw
32.1%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Bari
vs
1.17
Cesena
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).