Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Salford
22.4%
Draw
15.7%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Salford
vs
0.73
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).