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DHT: 11CSV

06 Mar 2020 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Troyes
26.7%
Draw
37.8%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Troyes

vs
1.14

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).