Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
St Johnstone
26.8%
Draw
27.9%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
St Johnstone
vs
1.14
Livingston
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).