Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Sevilla
24.8%
Draw
28.8%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Sevilla
vs
1.24
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).