Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Luton
27.6%
Draw
40.4%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Luton
vs
1.43
Hull
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).