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HHT: 10CSV

19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Coventry
28.6%
Draw
33.5%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Coventry

vs
0.96

Bradford

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
0-1
14.2%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).