Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Mirandes
25.0%
Draw
26.7%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Mirandes
vs
1.09
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).